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PREDICTION OF THE CRITICAL HEAT FLUX USING PARAMETRIC GAUSSIAN PROCESS REGRESSION
Mälardalen University, School of Business, Society and Engineering, Future Energy Center.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2561-0772
Mälardalen University, School of Business, Society and Engineering, Future Energy Center.
Mälardalen University, School of Innovation, Design and Engineering, Innovation and Product Realisation.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2978-6217
Mälardalen University, School of Business, Society and Engineering, Future Energy Center.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8466-356X
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2021 (English)In: Proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Heat Transfer, Fluid Mechanics andThermodynamics (HEFAT2021), HEFAT , 2021, p. 1865-1870Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

A sound understanding of the critical heat flux is of prime importance for any industrial boiling system design and safety. From the literature, the majority of the critical heat flux studies are based on empirical knowledge, often supported by ex- perimental investigations which are performed under specific conditions difficult to be generalized. Consequently, most of the available correlations have ±30% predictive error when com- pared to measurement data. Hence, accurate prediction of this quantity remains an open challenge for the thermal engineering community. The present study aims to investigate the hidden features that exist in experimental data using a machine learning technique. Firstly, a literature survey is carried out to collect experimental data for boiling flows in tubes under low pressure and low flow conditions. These experimental data consist of the following parameters: system pressure, mass flux, characteristic dimensions, thermodynamic quality, inlet subcooling, and critical heat flux. A parametric Gaussian process regression model is used to predict the critical heat flux. The prediction obtained from the model is then compared with experimental measurements and the values obtained from the critical heat flux look-up table. The model used in this study is capable of predicting the critical heat flux with better accuracy along with the information of prediction uncertainty. Moreover, it provides insights on the relevance of the different input parameters to the prediction of the critical heat flux and aligns well with the underlying physics. The model used in this study shows a good level of robustness which can be further extended for other geometries, datasets, and operating conditions. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
HEFAT , 2021. p. 1865-1870
Keywords [en]
Boiling flows, Critical Heat Flux, parametric Gaussian process, Machine Learning, Heat Transfer
National Category
Engineering and Technology Energy Engineering
Research subject
Energy- and Environmental Engineering; Energy- and Environmental Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-55650ISBN: 978-1-77592-216-2 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mdh-55650DiVA, id: diva2:1588081
Conference
THE 15th INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON HEAT TRANSFER, FLUID MECHANICS AND THERMODYNAMICS, HEFAT, Virtual Conference, 26-28 July 2021
Available from: 2021-08-26 Created: 2021-08-26 Last updated: 2025-10-10Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Data-Driven Techniques for Fluid Mechanics and Heat Transfer
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Data-Driven Techniques for Fluid Mechanics and Heat Transfer
2022 (English)Licentiate thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

One of the main challenges in fluid mechanics and heat transfer is the need for detailed studies andfast computational speed to monitor and optimise a system. These fluid/heat flows comprise time-dependent velocity, multi-scale, pressure, and energy fluctuations. Although there has been major advancements in computational power and technology, modelling detailed physical problems is currently falling short. The fluid mechanics and heat transfer domains are rapidly advancing, driven by unprecedented volumes of data from experiments, field measurements, and large-scale simulations at multiple spatio temporal scales. Such an increase in the volume of data unlocks the possibility of using techniques like machine learning. These machine learning algorithms offer a wealth of techniques to extract information from data that can be translated into knowledge about the underlying physics. Moreover, machine learning algorithms can augment domain knowledge and automate tasks related to flow control and optimisation. A significant milestone in the area of machine learning is the rise of deep learning, which is a powerful tool which can handle large data sets describing complex nonlinear dynamics that are commonly encountered in heat transfer and fluidflows.

Therefore, this thesis aims to investigate data obtained from numerical simulations with deep learning techniques to reproduce the underlying physics present in data and considerably speed up the process. In this study, subcooled boiling transfer data has been used to train the deep neural network model then the trained model is validated using a validation dataset. The performance of the model is further evaluated using a set of interpolation and extrapolation datasets for different operating conditions outside the training and validation data. Furthermore, to highlight the robustness and reliability of the deep learning model, uncertainty quantification techniques such as Monte Carlo dropout and Deep Ensemble are implemented.

This study demonstrates how a data-driven model can be used for subcooled boiling heat transfer and highlights why uncertainty quantification is important for such a model. The analysis and discussion in this thesis serve as the basis for further extending the potential use of data-driven methods for system optimisation, control and monitoring, diagnostic, and industrial applications. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Västerås: Mälardalens universitet, 2022
Series
Mälardalen University Press Licentiate Theses, ISSN 1651-9256 ; 322
Keywords
Fluid mechanics, Heat Transfer, Machine Learning, Deep Learning
National Category
Mechanical Engineering Environmental Engineering
Research subject
Energy- and Environmental Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-57583 (URN)978-91-7485-548-7 (ISBN)
Presentation
2022-05-13, Delta and via Zoom, Mälardalens högskola, Västerås, 09:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2022-03-21 Created: 2022-03-09 Last updated: 2025-10-10Bibliographically approved
2. Machine Learning Techniques for Enhanced Heat Transfer Modelling
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Machine Learning Techniques for Enhanced Heat Transfer Modelling
2024 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

With the continuous growth of global energy demand, processes from power generation to electronics cooling become vitally important. The role of heat transfer in these processes is crucial, facilitating effective monitoring, control, and optimisation. Therefore, advancements and understanding of heat transfer directly correlate to system performance, lifespan, safety, and cost-effectiveness, and they serve as key components in addressing the world's increasing energy needs.

The field of heat transfer faces the challenge of needing intensive studies while retaining fast computational speeds to allow for system optimisation. While advancements in computational power are significant, current numerical models lack in handling complex physical problems such as ill-posed. The domain of heat transfer is rapidly evolving, driven by a wealth of data from experimental measurements and numerical simulations. This data influx presents an opportunity for machine learning techniques, which can be used to harness meaningful insights about the underlying physics.

Therefore, the current thesis aims to the explore machine learning methods concerning heat transfer problems. More precisely, the study looks into advanced algorithms such as deep, convolutional, and physics-informed neural networks to tackle two types of heat transfer: subcooled boiling and convective heat transfer. The thesis further addresses the effective use of data through transfer learning and optimal sensor placement when available data is sparse, to learn the system behaviour. This technique reduces the need for extensive datasets and allows models to be trained more efficiently. An additional aspect of this thesis revolves around developing robust machine learning models. Therefore, significant efforts have been directed towards accounting for the uncertainty present in the model, which can further illuminate the model’s behaviour. This thesis shows the machine learning model's ability for accurate prediction. It offers insights into various parameters and handles uncertainties and ill-posed problems. The study emphasises machine learning's role in optimising heat transfer processes. The findings highlight the potential of synergistic application between traditional methodologies and machine learning models. These synergies can significantly enhance the design of systems, leading to greater efficiency.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Västerås: Mälardalens universitet, 2024
Series
Mälardalen University Press Dissertations, ISSN 1651-4238 ; 399
National Category
Engineering and Technology Energy Engineering
Research subject
Energy- and Environmental Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-64898 (URN)978-91-7485-625-5 (ISBN)
Public defence
2024-02-13, Delta, Mälardalens universitet, Västerås, 09:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2023-12-01 Created: 2023-11-29 Last updated: 2025-10-10Bibliographically approved

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Soibam, JerolRabhi, AchrefAslanidou, IoannaKyprianidis, KonstantinosBel Fdhila, Rebei

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