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When everyone talks about migration: how mainstream parties shift to the right and still lose
Mälardalen University, Faculty of Philosophy, Department of Social Sciences and Humanities.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9081-4849
Leuphana Univ Luneburg, Inst Polit Sci, Luneburg, Germany.
Univ Granada, Dept Polit Sci & Adm, Granada, Spain.
2026 (English)In: Political Research Exchange, E-ISSN 2474-736X, Vol. 8, no 1, article id 2671033Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The rise of populist radical right parties (PRRPs) has prompted mainstream parties (MPs) to adopt more sceptical positions toward immigration. Spatial theory suggests that MPs benefit electorally by adopting issues associated with PRRPs. However, empirical evidence indicates adverse effects as this strategy bears the potential to legitimise the radical right's core agenda. This study investigates whether centre-left and centre-right MPs gain or lose from a visible right-wing shift on migration during campaigns in which a significant proportion of people identify immigration as the most pressing issue, making the accommodation strategy seem more promising. Using Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) on fourteen high-salience elections and 37 MPs, we show that, even in contexts of high issue salience, MPs do not benefit from adopting tougher stances on immigration. While a right-wing shift is not a necessary condition for significant vote losses, not shifting to the right is a sufficient condition for avoiding considerable losses to PRRPs. We describe further conditions that could influence voter migration between MPs and PRRPs.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Informa UK Limited , 2026. Vol. 8, no 1, article id 2671033
Keywords [en]
Radical right, Mainstream Parties, immigration, issue salience, accommodation strategy
National Category
Political Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-77164DOI: 10.1080/2474736X.2026.2671033ISI: 001776128700001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mdh-77164DiVA, id: diva2:2065574
Available from: 2026-06-03 Created: 2026-06-03 Last updated: 2026-06-03Bibliographically approved

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Schwörer, Jakob

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1011121314151613 of 111
CiteExportLink to record
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  • de-DE
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More languages
Output format
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