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Data-Driven Remaining Useful Life Estimation of Discrete Power Electronic Devices
RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1262-9143
RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Sweden.
QRTECH AB, Sweden.
RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Sweden.
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2023 (English)In: Proceedings of the 33rd European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2023): The Future of Safety in a Reconnected World / [ed] Mário P. Brito, Terje Aven, Piero Baraldi, Marko Čepin and Enrico Zio, 2023Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Robust and accurate prognostics models for estimation of remaining useful life (RUL) are becoming an increasingly important aspect of research in reliability and safety in modern electronic components and systems. In this work, a data driven approach to the prognostics problem is presented. In particular, machine learning models are trained to predict the RUL of wire-bonded silicon carbide (SiC) metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistors (MOSFETs) subjected to power cycling until failure. During such power cycling, ON-state voltage and various temperature measurements are continuously collected. As the data set contains full run-to-failure trajectories, the issue of estimating RUL is naturally formulated in terms of supervised learning. Three neural network architectures were trained, evaluated, and compared on the RUL problem: a temporal convolutional neural network (TCN), a long short-term memory neural network (LSTM) and a convolutional gated recurrent neural network (Conv-GRU). While the results show that all networks perform well on held out testing data if the testing samples are of similar aging acceleration as the samples in the training data set, performance on out-of-distribution data is significantly lower. To this end, we discuss potential research directions to improve model performance in such scenarios.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2023.
Keywords [en]
Electronics, Prognostics and health management, Remaining useful life, Data-driven, Machine learning, Deep learning, Power cycling
National Category
Reliability and Maintenance
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-70763DOI: 10.3850/978-981-18-8071-1_P561-cdISBN: 978-981-18-8071-1 (electronic)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mdh-70763DiVA, id: diva2:1949559
Conference
33rd European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2023)
Note

Research is conducted within the iRel4.0 Intelligent Reliability project, which is funded by Horizon2020 Electronics Components for European LeadershipJoint Undertaking Innovation Action (H2020-ECSELJU-IA). This work is also funded by the Swedish innovation agency Vinnova, through co-funding of H2020-ECSEL-JU-IA.

Available from: 2025-04-03 Created: 2025-04-03 Last updated: 2025-04-07Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Data-Driven Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Energy-Intensive Industrial Assets
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Data-Driven Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Energy-Intensive Industrial Assets
2025 (English)Licentiate thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

In response to increasing demands for reliability and uptime, organizations are progressively monitoring more of their mission-critical assets through various sensing and data collection devices. The accumulated data enables several emerging technologies, particularly data-driven approaches such as machine learning, which are becoming more viable in industrial contexts. These technologies have the potential to enhance the effectiveness and efficiency of asset management and maintenance. A key framework for realizing this potential is prognostics and health management, an engineering approach that deals with the identification and prognostication of system degradation. A major aspect of prognostics and health management is remaining useful life prediction, which develops models to forecast the remaining operational time of systems. Accurate prediction of future system state provides useful insight that aids maintenance planning. This thesis addresses challenges and aspects of data-driven remaining useful life prediction with a focus on deep learning-based approaches. The research proposes solutions to key challenges in remaining useful life prediction, including limited access to complete run-to-failure trajectories, data sharing constraints, and decentralized training requirements. Additionally, this thesis investigates remaining useful life predictions for discrete power electronics, components used in safety-critical high-power applications such as automotive systems -- an area that remains understudied within prognostics and health management. The findings demonstrate that remaining useful life prediction is a viable technology in these domains, with models benefiting from self-supervised pretraining and decentralized training through federated learning. Furthermore, the research establishes that discrete power electronics can be effectively monitored using data-driven remaining useful life prediction methods.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Västerås: Mälardalens universitet, 2025
Series
Mälardalen University Press Licentiate Theses, ISSN 1651-9256 ; 375
National Category
Reliability and Maintenance
Research subject
Energy- and Environmental Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-70764 (URN)978-91-7485-707-8 (ISBN)
Presentation
2025-05-15, Pi, Mälardalens universitet, Västerås, 09:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2025-04-10 Created: 2025-04-07 Last updated: 2025-04-24Bibliographically approved

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Publisher's full texthttps://www.rpsonline.com.sg/proceedings/esrel2023/html/P561.html

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Söderkvist Vermelin, Wilhelm

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