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Collaborative Training of Data-Driven Remaining Useful Life Prediction Models Using Federated Learning
Mälardalen University, School of Business, Society and Engineering, Future Energy Center. RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Västra Götaland, Mölndal, 431 53, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1262-9143
RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Västra Götaland, Mölndal, 431 53, Sweden.
RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Västra Götaland, Mölndal, 431 53, Sweden.
RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Västra Götaland, Mölndal, 431 53, Sweden.
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2024 (English)In: International Journal of Prognostics and Health Management, E-ISSN 2153-2648, Vol. 15, no 2Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Remaining useful life prediction models are a central aspect of developing modern and capable prognostics and health management systems. Recently, such models are increasingly data-driven and based on various machine learning techniques, in particular deep neural networks. Such models are notoriously “data hungry”, i.e., to get adequate performance of such models, a substantial amount of diverse training data is needed. However, in several domains in which one would like to deploy data-driven remaining useful life models, there is a lack of data or data are distributed among several actors. Often these actors, for various reasons, cannot share data among themselves. In this paper a method for collaborative training of remaining useful life models based on federated learning is presented. In this setting, actors do not need to share locally held secret data, only model updates. Model updates are aggregated by a central server, and subsequently sent back to each of the clients, until convergence. There are numerous strategies for aggregating clients’ model updates and in this paper two strategies will be explored: 1) federated averaging and 2) federated learning with personalization layers. Federated averaging is the common baseline federated learning strategy where the clients’ models are averaged by the central server to update the global model. Federated averaging has been shown to have a limited ability to deal with non-identically and independently distributed data. To mitigate this problem, federated learning with personalization layers, a strategy similar to federated averaging but where each client is allowed to append custom layers to their local model, is explored. The two federated learning strategies will be evaluated on two datasets: 1) run-to-failure trajectories from power cycling of silicon-carbide metal-oxide semiconductor field-effect transistors, and 2) C-MAPSS, a well-known simulated dataset of turbofan jet engines. Two neural network model architectures commonly used in remaining useful life prediction, long shortterm memory with multi-layer perceptron feature extractors, and convolutional gated recurrent unit, will be used for the evaluation. It is shown that similar or better performance is achieved when using federated learning compared to when the model is only trained on local data.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Prognostics and Health Management Society , 2024. Vol. 15, no 2
Keywords [en]
deep learning, electronics, federated learning, machine learning, prognostics and health management, remaining useful life, turbofan jet engines
National Category
Computer and Information Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-69546DOI: 10.36001/ijphm.2024.v15i2.3821ISI: 001415118000002Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85191173890OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mdh-69546DiVA, id: diva2:1920835
Available from: 2024-12-12 Created: 2024-12-12 Last updated: 2025-04-07Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Data-Driven Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Energy-Intensive Industrial Assets
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Data-Driven Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Energy-Intensive Industrial Assets
2025 (English)Licentiate thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

In response to increasing demands for reliability and uptime, organizations are progressively monitoring more of their mission-critical assets through various sensing and data collection devices. The accumulated data enables several emerging technologies, particularly data-driven approaches such as machine learning, which are becoming more viable in industrial contexts. These technologies have the potential to enhance the effectiveness and efficiency of asset management and maintenance. A key framework for realizing this potential is prognostics and health management, an engineering approach that deals with the identification and prognostication of system degradation. A major aspect of prognostics and health management is remaining useful life prediction, which develops models to forecast the remaining operational time of systems. Accurate prediction of future system state provides useful insight that aids maintenance planning. This thesis addresses challenges and aspects of data-driven remaining useful life prediction with a focus on deep learning-based approaches. The research proposes solutions to key challenges in remaining useful life prediction, including limited access to complete run-to-failure trajectories, data sharing constraints, and decentralized training requirements. Additionally, this thesis investigates remaining useful life predictions for discrete power electronics, components used in safety-critical high-power applications such as automotive systems -- an area that remains understudied within prognostics and health management. The findings demonstrate that remaining useful life prediction is a viable technology in these domains, with models benefiting from self-supervised pretraining and decentralized training through federated learning. Furthermore, the research establishes that discrete power electronics can be effectively monitored using data-driven remaining useful life prediction methods.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Västerås: Mälardalens universitet, 2025
Series
Mälardalen University Press Licentiate Theses, ISSN 1651-9256 ; 375
National Category
Reliability and Maintenance
Research subject
Energy- and Environmental Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-70764 (URN)978-91-7485-707-8 (ISBN)
Presentation
2025-05-15, Pi, Mälardalens universitet, Västerås, 09:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2025-04-10 Created: 2025-04-07 Last updated: 2025-04-24Bibliographically approved

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Söderkvist Vermelin, WilhelmKyprianidis, Konstantinos

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