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Self-supervised learning for efficient remaining useful life prediction
Mälardalen University, School of Business, Society and Engineering, Future Energy Center. RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Västra Götaland, Mölndal, 431 53, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1262-9143
RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Västra Götaland, Mölndal, 431 53, Sweden.
2022 (English)In: Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society, PHM, vol 14, nr 1, Prognostics and Health Management Society , 2022, no 1Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Canonical deep learning-based remaining useful life prediction relies on supervised learning methods, which in turn requires large data sets of run-to-failure data to ensure model performance. In a considerable class of cases, run-to-failure data is difficult to collect in practice as it may be expensive and unsafe to operate assets until failure. As such, there is a need to leverage data that are not run-to-failure but may still contain some measurable, and thus learnable, degradation signal. In this paper, we propose utilizing self-supervised learning as a pretraining step to learn representations of data which will enable efficient training on the downstream task of remaining useful life prediction. The self-supervised learning task chosen is time series sequence ordering, a task that involves constructing tuples each consisting of n sequences sampled from the time series and reordered with some probability p. Subsequently, a classifier is trained on the resulting binary classification task; distinguishing between correctly ordered and shuffled tuples. The classifier’s weights are then transferred to the remaining useful life prediction model and fine-tuned using run-to-failure data. To conduct our experiments, we use a data set of simulated run-to-failure turbofan jet engines. We show that the proposed self-supervised learning scheme can retain performance when training on a fraction of the full data set. In addition, we show indications that self-supervised learning as a pretraining step can enhance the performance of the model even when training on the full run-to-failure data set. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Prognostics and Health Management Society , 2022. no 1
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-62157DOI: 10.36001/phmconf.2022.v14i1.3222Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85150477154ISBN: 9781936263059 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mdh-62157DiVA, id: diva2:1747603
Conference
2022 Annual Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society, PHM 2022, Nashville31 October 2022 through 4 November 2022
Available from: 2023-03-30 Created: 2023-03-30 Last updated: 2025-04-07Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Data-Driven Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Energy-Intensive Industrial Assets
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Data-Driven Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Energy-Intensive Industrial Assets
2025 (English)Licentiate thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

In response to increasing demands for reliability and uptime, organizations are progressively monitoring more of their mission-critical assets through various sensing and data collection devices. The accumulated data enables several emerging technologies, particularly data-driven approaches such as machine learning, which are becoming more viable in industrial contexts. These technologies have the potential to enhance the effectiveness and efficiency of asset management and maintenance. A key framework for realizing this potential is prognostics and health management, an engineering approach that deals with the identification and prognostication of system degradation. A major aspect of prognostics and health management is remaining useful life prediction, which develops models to forecast the remaining operational time of systems. Accurate prediction of future system state provides useful insight that aids maintenance planning. This thesis addresses challenges and aspects of data-driven remaining useful life prediction with a focus on deep learning-based approaches. The research proposes solutions to key challenges in remaining useful life prediction, including limited access to complete run-to-failure trajectories, data sharing constraints, and decentralized training requirements. Additionally, this thesis investigates remaining useful life predictions for discrete power electronics, components used in safety-critical high-power applications such as automotive systems -- an area that remains understudied within prognostics and health management. The findings demonstrate that remaining useful life prediction is a viable technology in these domains, with models benefiting from self-supervised pretraining and decentralized training through federated learning. Furthermore, the research establishes that discrete power electronics can be effectively monitored using data-driven remaining useful life prediction methods.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Västerås: Mälardalens universitet, 2025
Series
Mälardalen University Press Licentiate Theses, ISSN 1651-9256 ; 375
National Category
Reliability and Maintenance
Research subject
Energy- and Environmental Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-70764 (URN)978-91-7485-707-8 (ISBN)
Presentation
2025-05-15, Pi, Mälardalens universitet, Västerås, 09:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2025-04-10 Created: 2025-04-07 Last updated: 2025-04-24Bibliographically approved

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