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Archaeological Predictive Modeling Using Machine Learning and Statistical Methods for Japan and China
Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, 5-1-5, Kashiwanoha, Kashiwa 277-8563, Japan.
Mälardalen University, School of Business, Society and Engineering, Future Energy Center. Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, 5-1-5, Kashiwanoha, Kashiwa 277-8563, Japan.
Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, 5-1-5, Kashiwanoha, Kashiwa 277-8563, Japan;Center for Spatial Information Science, The University of Tokyo, 5-1-5, Kashiwanoha, Kashiwa 277-8568, Japan.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-8340-6994
2023 (English)In: ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, E-ISSN 2220-9964, Vol. 12, no 6, p. 238-238Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Archaeological predictive modeling (APM) is an essential method for quantitatively assessing the probability of archaeological sites present in a region. It is a necessary tool for archaeological research and cultural heritage management. In particular, the predictive modeling process could help us understand the relationship between past human civilizations and the natural environment; moreover, a better understanding of the mechanisms of the human-land relationship can provide new ideas for sustainable development. This study aims to investigate the impact of topographic and hydrological factors on archaeological sites in the Japanese archipelago and Shaanxi Province, China and proposes a hybrid integration approach for APM. This approach employed a conditional attention mechanism (AM) using deep learning and a frequency ratio (FR) model, in addition to a separate FR model and the widely-used machine learning MaxEnt method. The models' outcomes were cross-checked using the four-fold cross-validation method, and the models' performances were compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and Kvamme's Gain. The results showed that in both study areas, the AM_FR model exhibited the most satisfactory performances.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2023. Vol. 12, no 6, p. 238-238
Keywords [en]
archaeological predictive modeling, GIS, spatial analysis, deep learning, conditional attention mechanism, frequency ratio model, maximum entropytopographic factors
National Category
Archaeology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-63870DOI: 10.3390/ijgi12060238ISI: 001015088000001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85163947514OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mdh-63870DiVA, id: diva2:1782299
Available from: 2023-07-13 Created: 2023-07-13 Last updated: 2023-07-19Bibliographically approved

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Shi, Xiaodan

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