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Parameter estimation and sensitivity analysis for a diesel hydro-processing model
Mälardalen University, School of Business, Society and Engineering, Future Energy Center.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1240-5449
Limmat Scientific AG, Zurich, 6300, Switzerland.
Mälardalen University, School of Innovation, Design and Engineering, Innovation and Product Realisation.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2978-6217
Mälardalen University, School of Business, Society and Engineering, Future Energy Center.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8466-356X
2021 (English)In: Computer Aided Chemical Engineering, Vol. 50, p. 573-578Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Model-based approaches are essential for the operation, optimization, and control of applications in the process industry. Different structures are often investigated to build representative and robust models, and a set of parameters with the same attributes are required to utilize them effectively. Parameter estimation gets arduous with the increasing complexity of the process, the model, and the size of the parameter space. In this work, a parameter-estimation problem based on a steady-state model of diesel hydrodesulfurization is investigated using gradient-based and gradient-free optimizers. The optimal parameter sets obtained are then assessed in terms of performance and computational time for the different optimizers. Furthermore, the sensitivity of the various parameters is also investigated. Due to the catalytic reactions in this process, some parameters have to be updated depending on the catalyst activity. In addition to the initial estimation, the updated parameters are also studied, and instead of a time-based one, a tolerance-based recalculation schedule is suggested. Finally, the robustness of the final model is analyzed by giving different operating conditions and feed characteristics. The adaptive parameter approach proved better data fitting capabilities by improving the coefficient of determination for temperature predictions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier B.V. , 2021. Vol. 50, p. 573-578
Keywords [en]
optimization, parameter estimation, sensitivity analysis
National Category
Energy Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-55526DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-323-88506-5.50091-7Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85110473850OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mdh-55526DiVA, id: diva2:1583145
Available from: 2021-08-05 Created: 2021-08-05 Last updated: 2023-01-25Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Energy savings for petroleum processing: Using mathematical models, optimal control and diagnostics
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Energy savings for petroleum processing: Using mathematical models, optimal control and diagnostics
2023 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Petroleum products are widely used as an energy supply, and the total production capacity of petroleum refineries is quite high. In this thesis, an energy intensive refinery process, hydroprocessing, is selected and evaluated in terms of its energy loss contributors. Digital solutions are discussed and demonstrated to reduce losses. Both hydrotreatment and hydrocracking processes are included in the evaluation since both require elevated temperatures due to the relevant reactions. While the former is the removal of undesired atoms, the latter is the production of short chain hydrocarbons from heavy oil. Both these processes contribute to cleaner fuel production.

When these processes are carried out in fixed bed reactors, the catalyst ages over time, slowing the reactions. Understanding the changes in system dynamics enables the control system to calculate the necessary temperature adjustments to facilitate stable product quality. The usual response is increasing the temperature, which adds to the heat load. If reaction rates are known, the temperature increase can be kept to a minimum. Obtaining real-time feed quality information can aid flexible feed processing refineries intensely. With real-time feed characterization, it is possible to use a feed forward model predictive control system to optimize reactor temperatures. Therefore, for varying crude oil quality, the control system can estimate the minimum temperature requirements for the product to be in the desired quality interval. Additional notice should be given to the temperature sensors as they supply data to the suggested control architecture. Wrong measurements threaten the optimality of the estimated control response. Faulty sensors should be detected and replaced to minimize the risk and collect correct data.

Observations made in this thesis show the possible energy gain for hydroprocessing by understanding the aging catalyst, soft sensor installation, feed forward model predictive control, and sensor fault detection. Hydroprocessing is a relevant topic for biorefineries. Although the demonstrations in this work are only for petroleum refineries, the suggested methods can be used in biorefineries as well as integrated co-processing petroleum and biorefineries.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Västerås: Mälardalens universitet, 2023
Series
Mälardalen University Press Dissertations, ISSN 1651-4238 ; 372
National Category
Chemical Process Engineering
Research subject
Energy- and Environmental Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-61618 (URN)978-91-7485-581-4 (ISBN)
Public defence
2023-03-21, Gamma, Mälardalens universitet, Västerås, 09:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Projects
FUDIPO
Available from: 2023-01-25 Created: 2023-01-25 Last updated: 2023-03-09Bibliographically approved

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Iplik, EsinAslanidou, IoannaKyprianidis, Konstantinos

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