Implied volatility with HJM–type Stochastic Volatility model
2021 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 28 HE credits
Student thesis
Abstract [en]
In this thesis, we propose a new and simple approach of extending the single-factor Heston stochastic volatility model to a more flexible one in solving option pricing problems. In this approach, the volatility process for the underlying asset dynamics depends on the time to maturity of the option. As this idea is inspired by the Heath-Jarrow-Morton framework which models the evolution of the full dynamics of forward rate curves for various maturities, we name this approach as the HJM-type stochastic volatility (HJM-SV) model. We conduct an empirical analysis by calibrating this model to real-market option data for underlying assets including an equity (ABB stock) and a market index (EURO STOXX 50), for two separated time spans from Jan 2017 to Dec 2017 (before the COVID-19 pandemic) and from Nov 2019 to Nov 2020 (after the start of COVID-19 pandemic). We investigate the optimal way of dividing the set of option maturities into three classes, namely, the short-maturity, middle-maturity, and long-maturity classes. We calibrate our HJM-SV model to the data in the following way, for each class a single-factor Heston stochastic volatility model is calibrated to the corresponding market data. We address the question that how well the new HJM-SV model captures the feature of implied volatility surface given by the market data.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2021. , p. 51
Keywords [en]
Implied volatility surface, stochastic volatility model, HJM framework
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-54938OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mdh-54938DiVA, id: diva2:1568969
Subject / course
Mathematics/Applied Mathematics
Presentation
2021-06-11, 11:00 (English)
Supervisors
Examiners
2021-06-242021-06-182021-10-20Bibliographically approved