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Portfolio Saliency and Ministerial Turnover: Dynamics in Scandinavian Postwar Cabinets
Brunel Univ, Dept Polit & Hist, Uxbridge UB8 3PH, Middx, England..ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3637-208X
2013 (English)In: Scandinavian Political Studies, ISSN 0080-6757, E-ISSN 1467-9477, Vol. 36, no 3, p. 227-248Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Why do certain ministers remain in their post for years while others have their time in office cut short? Drawing on the broader literature on portfolio allocation, this article argues that the saliency of individual portfolios shapes ministerial turnover. The main argument is that ministerial dismissals are less likely to occur the higher the saliency attributed to the ministerial portfolio since ministers appointed to important posts are more likely to have been through extensive screening before appointment. Importantly, it is also posited in the article that the effect of portfolio salience is conditioned by government approval ratings: when government ratings are on the decline, prime ministers are less likely to reshuffle or fire important ministers than when approval ratings are improving. To test these claims, Cox proportional hazards models are applied to a new dataset on ministerial turnover in Scandinavia during the postwar period. The results strongly support the proposition that portfolio saliency matters for ministerial survival, and that this effect is moderated by government popularity.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
WILEY , 2013. Vol. 36, no 3, p. 227-248
National Category
Political Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-50830DOI: 10.1111/1467-9477.12004ISI: 000322157200002Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-84880963417OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mdh-50830DiVA, id: diva2:1469890
Available from: 2020-09-22 Created: 2020-09-22 Last updated: 2022-03-16Bibliographically approved

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Bäck, Hanna

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