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An Integrated Scenario Analysis for Future Zero-Carbon Energy System
China Univ Petr, Acad Chinese Energy Strategy, Beijing 102249, Peoples R China..
Mälardalen University, School of Business, Society and Engineering, Future Energy Center.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6279-4446
Kyoto Univ, Grad Sch Energy Sci, Kyoto 6068501, Japan..ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4802-3864
2014 (English)In: INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON APPLIED ENERGY, ICAE2014 / [ed] Yan, J Lee, DJ Chou, SK Desideri, U Li, H, ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV , 2014, p. 2801-2804Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

An integrated scenario analysis methodology has been proposed for zero-carbon energy system in perspectives of social-economy, environment and technology. In the methodology, firstly various service demands were estimated based on social-economic data, and best technology and energy mixes were obtained using the optimization model to meet the service demand. The methodology has been applied to Japan toward zero-carbon energy system out to 2100. The results show that, in the end user side, zero-carbon energy scenario was obtained based on 75% on electricity and three power generation scenarios were proposed, 30% renewable and 70% gas-CCS in scenario 1, respective one third nuclear, renewable and gas-CCS in scenario 2, and 60% nuclear power, 20% renewable and 10% gas-CCS in scenario 3. Finally, the scenario 2 with balanced diversity in nuclear, renewable and gas-CCS was recommended based on comprehensive inter-comparisons. The feasibility of the proposed methodology has been demonstrated. (C) 2014 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/).

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV , 2014. p. 2801-2804
Series
Energy Procedia, ISSN 1876-6102 ; 61
Keyword [en]
Zero-carbon, scenario analysis, renewable energy, nuclear power, Fukushima Accident
National Category
Energy Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-38404DOI: 10.1016/j.egypro.2014.12.274ISI: 000375936100623OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mdh-38404DiVA: diva2:1181656
Conference
6th International Conference on Applied Energy (ICAE), MAY 30-JUN 02, 2014, Taipei, TAIWAN
Available from: 2018-02-09 Created: 2018-02-09 Last updated: 2018-02-09Bibliographically approved

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Li, Hailong

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CiteExportLink to record
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