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Anticipating emerging issues for resilient energy systems: wider, deeper and further perspectives
Mälardalen University, School of Innovation, Design and Engineering, Innovation and Product Realisation. (Innovation Management)ORCID iD: 0009-0002-3129-3566
Mälardalen University, School of Innovation, Design and Engineering, Innovation and Product Realisation.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3371-9313
Mälardalen University, School of Innovation, Design and Engineering, Innovation and Product Realisation.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6229-2673
2024 (English)In: Foresight, ISSN 1463-6689, E-ISSN 1465-9832Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Purpose – The purpose of this study is to explore the long-term, deeper transformations occurring in thewider energy transition to anticipate emerging issues through collective anticipatory intelligence.

Design/methodology/approach – Through a co-productive research design, the authors collectivelyscanned and discussed contemporary developments in the Swedish energy transition. The acquiredinsight was used in a causal layered analysis over three horizons to separate between views anddevelopments in time and space.

Findings – Findings of this study present current, transitionary and emerging issues and how theyemerge from deeper levels such as values and worldviews. These issues are discussed around howunderlying changes may change to mitigate them, suggesting three strategies.

Practical implications – The framed and anticipated issues enable monitoring and proactive response,and the discussion contributes insight to ongoing political debates, as well as implications for managingsimilar initiatives.

Social implications – Insights are provided into the changing cultures and values required in a futureenergy system, showing, e.g. how demand-side response may either come through relinquishing controlover consumption or through increased flexibility and change.

Originality/value – Studying issues of growing concern and novel approaches, this paper should be ofinterest to practitioners in the energy sector and foresight professionals. It provides a critique and framingof issues to be monitored, adding to the growing library of energy futures studies.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2024.
Keywords [en]
Emerging issues, Horizon scanning, Weak signals, Energy resilience, Energy futures, Open foresight
National Category
Other Engineering and Technologies
Research subject
Innovation and Design
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-68752DOI: 10.1108/FS-11-2023-0226Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85208095422OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mdh-68752DiVA, id: diva2:1908030
Projects
IMRES
Funder
Swedish Energy Agency, 16955Available from: 2024-10-24 Created: 2024-10-24 Last updated: 2024-11-13Bibliographically approved

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Önnered, SimonSannö, AnnaStefan, IoanaJohansson, Peter

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