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Almost–Exact Simulation Scheme for Heston–type Models: Bermudan and American Option Pricing
Mälardalen University, School of Education, Culture and Communication, Educational Sciences and Mathematics. (MAM)
Mälardalen University, School of Education, Culture and Communication, Educational Sciences and Mathematics. (MAM)ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8337-9479
Mälardalen University, School of Education, Culture and Communication, Educational Sciences and Mathematics. (MAM)ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0835-7536
Mälardalen University, School of Education, Culture and Communication, Educational Sciences and Mathematics. (MAM)ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0139-0747
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Recently, an Almost-Exact Simulation (AES) scheme was introduced for the Heston stochastic volatility model and tested for European option pricing. This paper extends this scheme for pricing Bermudan and American options under both Heston and double Heston models. The AES improves Monte Carlo simulation efficiency by using the non-central chi-square distribution for the variance process. We derive the AES scheme for the double Heston model and compare the performance of the AES schemes under both models with the Euler scheme. Our numerical experiments validate the effectiveness of the AES scheme in providing accurate option prices with reduced computational time, highlighting its robustness for both models. In particular, the AES achieves higher accuracy and computational efficiency when the number of simulation steps matches the exercise dates for Bermudan options.

Keywords [en]
Almost-Exact Simulation Scheme; Bermudan and American Options; Cox-Ingersoll-Ross Model; Heston Model; Double Heston Model
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Research subject
Mathematics/Applied Mathematics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-68599OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mdh-68599DiVA, id: diva2:1903644
Note

International Journal of Computer Mathematics. Submitted for publication in 2024.

Available from: 2024-10-05 Created: 2024-10-05 Last updated: 2025-01-07Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Regime-Switching, Stochastic Volatility, and Numerical Approaches in Option Pricing
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Regime-Switching, Stochastic Volatility, and Numerical Approaches in Option Pricing
2024 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This thesis presents advancements in the valuation and modeling of financial derivatives, with a focus on American and Bermudan options. Traditional models such as Black–Scholes assume constant volatility, often leading to inaccurate pricing during periods of high market turbulence. This research addresses these limitations by considering more flexible regime–switching and stochastic volatility models.

The first part of the thesis focuses on the pricing of American options under a Markovian regime–switching model, extending previous works by addressing assumptions of asset returns across economic states. By incorporating the Totally Positive of Order 2 (TP2) property for Transition Probability Matrix (TPM) and Conditional Probability Matrix (CPM), the model ensures probabilistic progression between economic states. Extensive numerical experiments confirm the importance of TPM in maintaining the monotonicity of optimal exercise boundaries.

Secondly, the thesis investigates asymptotic expansions of implied volatility under the Gatheral model. Numerical analysis reveals the accuracy of first and second–order expansions, with a partial calibration method validated using market data from the COVID–19 pandemic.

Next, the thesis introduces a Backward Stochastic Differential Equation (BSDE)–θ scheme for pricing American options under the Heston model, simplifying the computational process and requiring only one parameter for pricing while also deriving schemes for Delta and Vega hedging strategies. Extensive numerical experiments validate the scheme’s accuracy and robustness, especially for in–the–money options.

Finally, the thesis develops an Almost–Exact Simulation (AES) scheme for Bermudan and American option pricing under Heston–type models. The AES scheme ensures non–negative variance and significantly improves simulation accuracy compared to the Euler scheme when the number of steps equals the number of exercise dates. Numerical experiments reveal that the AES scheme offers improvements in accuracy, efficiency, and memory usage, particularly for in–the–money and at–the–money options with minimal time steps.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Västerås: Mälardalens universitet, 2024. p. 79
Series
Mälardalen University Press Dissertations, ISSN 1651-4238 ; 419
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Research subject
Mathematics/Applied Mathematics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-68600 (URN)978-91-7485-684-2 (ISBN)
Public defence
2024-11-29, Lambda, Mälardalens universitet, Västerås, 13:15 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2024-10-08 Created: 2024-10-05 Last updated: 2024-11-08Bibliographically approved

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Kalicanin Dimitrov, MaraDimitrov, MarkoNi, YingMalyarenko, Anatoliy

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