Epidemic versus economic performances of the COVID-19 lockdown: A big data driven analysis Show others and affiliations
2022 (English) In: Cities, ISSN 0264-2751, E-ISSN 1873-6084, Vol. 120, article id 103502Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]
Lockdown measures have been a “panacea” for pandemic control but also a violent “poison” for economies.Lockdown policies strongly restrict human mobility but mobility reduce does harm to economics. Governmentsmeet a thorny problem in balancing the pros and cons of lockdown policies, but lack comprehensive andquantified guides. Based on millions of financial transaction records, and billions of mobility data, we trackedspatio-temporal business networks and human daily mobility, then proposed a high-resolution two-sidedframework to assess the epidemiological performance and economic damage of different lockdown policies. Wefound that the pandemic duration under the strictest lockdown is less about two months than that under thelightest lockdown, which makes the strictest lockdown characterize both epidemiologically and economicallyefficient. Moreover, based on the two-sided model, we explored the spatial lockdown strategy. We argue thatcutting off intercity commuting is significant in both epidemiological and economical aspects, and finally helpedgovernments figure out the Pareto optimal solution set of lockdown strategy.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages 2022. Vol. 120, article id 103502
National Category
Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Identifiers URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-57199 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2021.103502 ISI: 000792678800002 Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85118714443 OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mdh-57199 DiVA, id: diva2:1634461
2022-02-022022-02-022025-02-20 Bibliographically approved