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Life Cycle Cost of Heat Supply to Areas with Detached Houses: A Comparison of District Heating and Heat Pumps from an Energy System Perspective
Mälardalens högskola, Akademin för ekonomi, samhälle och teknik, Framtidens energi. Högskolan Dalarna, Akademin Industri och samhälle, Energiteknik.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-3630-663X
Högskolan Dalarna, Akademin Industri och samhälle, Byggteknik.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-9943-9878
Mälardalens högskola, Akademin för ekonomi, samhälle och teknik, Framtidens energi.ORCID-id: 0000-0001-9230-1596
2018 (engelsk)Inngår i: Energies, ISSN 1996-1073, E-ISSN 1996-1073, Vol. 11, nr 12, artikkel-id 3266Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

There are different views on whether district heating (DH) or heat pumps (HPs) is or are the best heating solution in order to reach a 100% renewable energy system. This article investigates the economic perspective, by calculating and comparing the energy system life cycle cost (LCC) for the two solutions in areas with detached houses. The LCC is calculated using Monte Carlo simulation, where all input data is varied according to predefined probability distributions. In addition to the parameter variations, 16 different scenarios are evaluated regarding the main fuel for the DH, the percentage of combined heat and power (CHP), the DH temperature level, and the type of electrical backup power. Although HP is the case with the lowest LCC for most of the scenarios, there are alternatives for each scenario in which either HP or DH has the lowest LCC. In alternative scenarios with additional electricity transmission costs, and a marginal cost perspective regarding the CHP investment, DH has the lowest LCC overall, taking into account all scenarios. The study concludes that the decision based on energy system economy on whether DH should expand into areas with detached houses must take local conditions into consideration.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
MDPI, 2018. Vol. 11, nr 12, artikkel-id 3266
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-41408DOI: 10.3390/en11123266ISI: 000455358300027Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85059252156OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mdh-41408DiVA, id: diva2:1265661
Tilgjengelig fra: 2018-11-26 Laget: 2018-11-26 Sist oppdatert: 2019-09-16bibliografisk kontrollert
Inngår i avhandling
1. Heating of buildings from a system perspective
Åpne denne publikasjonen i ny fane eller vindu >>Heating of buildings from a system perspective
2019 (engelsk)Doktoravhandling, med artikler (Annet vitenskapelig)
Abstract [en]

Energy efficiency measures in buildings are considered to have great potential for reducing total energy use, and contribute to a reduced climate and environmental impact. In Sweden, however, there is a focus on bought energy, which does not always reflect the environmental and climate impact. Focusing on bought energy means that a house owner may choose an electricity based heat pump instead of district heating (DH), since heat pumps result in less bought energy compared to DH.

The energy system surrounding the buildings is affected by the choice of energy carriers used for heating. This thesis uses three different methods to study how the energy system is affected. In the first part, primary energy use has been calculated for a simulated building with different heating systems, resulting in different electricity and DH demands. The second part studies the impact on peak demand and annual consumption in the power grid and DH system due to different market shares of electricity based heating and DH. In the third part, the life cycle cost is calculated for different heating solutions from both a building and a socio-economic perspective, for 100 % renewable energy system scenarios.

The results show that the choice of energy carrier has a great influence on primary energy use. However, this depends even more on the calculation method used. Which heating solution, and thus which energy carrier, gives the lowest primary energy use varies with the different methods.

The power grid and DH system are affected by the choice of energy carrier. There is a potential to lower peak demand in the power grid by more efficient heat pumps. But an even greater potential is shown by using DH instead of electricity based heating. A larger share of DH also allows the production of more electricity with the use of combined heat and power.

The life cycle cost for different heating solutions also depends on the method used. From a building owner’s perspective, with current electricity and DH prices, electricity based heating is more economical. However, from a socio-economic perspective, with increasing electricity system costs due to a larger share of variable electricity production in a 100 % renewable system, DH becomes more economically profitable in several scenarios.

The choice of energy carrier for heating in buildings affects the energy system to a high degree. A system perspective is therefore important in local, national and global energy efficiency policies and projects.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Västerås: Mälardalen University, 2019
Serie
Mälardalen University Press Dissertations, ISSN 1651-4238 ; 297
HSV kategori
Forskningsprogram
energi- och miljöteknik
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-45230 (URN)978-91-7485-439-8 (ISBN)
Disputas
2019-11-05, Sal 320, Högskolan Dalarna, Borlänge, 13:00
Opponent
Veileder
Tilgjengelig fra: 2019-09-18 Laget: 2019-09-16 Sist oppdatert: 2019-09-30bibliografisk kontrollert

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