Open this publication in new window or tab >>2024 (English)In: Foresight, ISSN 1463-6689, E-ISSN 1465-9832Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]
Purpose – The purpose of this study is to explore the long-term, deeper transformations occurring in thewider energy transition to anticipate emerging issues through collective anticipatory intelligence.
Design/methodology/approach – Through a co-productive research design, the authors collectivelyscanned and discussed contemporary developments in the Swedish energy transition. The acquiredinsight was used in a causal layered analysis over three horizons to separate between views anddevelopments in time and space.
Findings – Findings of this study present current, transitionary and emerging issues and how theyemerge from deeper levels such as values and worldviews. These issues are discussed around howunderlying changes may change to mitigate them, suggesting three strategies.
Practical implications – The framed and anticipated issues enable monitoring and proactive response,and the discussion contributes insight to ongoing political debates, as well as implications for managingsimilar initiatives.
Social implications – Insights are provided into the changing cultures and values required in a futureenergy system, showing, e.g. how demand-side response may either come through relinquishing controlover consumption or through increased flexibility and change.
Originality/value – Studying issues of growing concern and novel approaches, this paper should be ofinterest to practitioners in the energy sector and foresight professionals. It provides a critique and framingof issues to be monitored, adding to the growing library of energy futures studies.
Keywords
Emerging issues, Horizon scanning, Weak signals, Energy resilience, Energy futures, Open foresight
National Category
Other Engineering and Technologies
Research subject
Innovation and Design
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-68752 (URN)10.1108/FS-11-2023-0226 (DOI)2-s2.0-85208095422 (Scopus ID)
Projects
IMRES
Funder
Swedish Energy Agency, 16955
2024-10-242024-10-242024-11-13Bibliographically approved